Five Popular Betting Systems That Eventually Fail
There are dozens of ‘foolproof’ betting systems for Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette. They are available, at
a price, in book form, in videos and on the Internet. Most of them
have just one problem. They don’t work. Most of them are variations
of five basic Roulette or Online Casino Roulette
systems that have been around for years. All of them will work in
some instances or for short periods of time. Over the long haul, they
all have some basic flaws.
This chapter presents these five basic Roulette or
Online Casino Roulette systems and discusses their
flaws. As you study this Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette game and the different strategies and systems
for playing it, you will recognize these five in most of those ‘foolproof’
systems that someone is trying to sell you.
The common thread running through these five Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette systems is to bet in such
a fashion that you have more money bet when you hit a winner than
when you hit a loser. These are ‘sliding scale’ Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette systems. You keep betting
more when you are in a series of successive losses. Then, when you
hit a winner, the win is more than the sum of your losses, giving
you a profit. As soon as you win, you begin a series of betting less
on each win, with the idea that you will lose less when you take the
next loss. The Martingale: This is a famous Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette system and is often used
as the basis for many systems or strategies offered for sale through
videos, etc. It is so popular with so many Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette players, especially beginning
players. This type of betting strategy is used on outside bets where
the odds are 50:50. Essentially, this Roulette or
Online Casino Roulette strategy is to double your
bet after each losing bet so that your next bet will ‘make up’
for all of your losses to that point. For example, if your first bet
is $1 and you lose, your next bet is $2. If you win on that spin,
you receive $4, recovering your $3 and giving you a $1 profit. The
Martingale Roulette or Online Casino Roulette
system works. You will win using this strategy. It just has
a couple of very serious problems. The Martingale Bet Risk/Return
Bet # Bet $ Odds Losing % Total $ At Risk Profit If Win $
1 1 47.37% -1 $1
2 2 23.68 -3 $1
3 4 11.84 -7 $1
4 8 5.92 -15 $1
5 16 2.96 -31 $1
6 32 1.48 -63 $1
7 64 .74 -127 $1
8 128 .37 -255 $1
9 256 .185 -511 $1
10 512 .0925 -1,023 $1 First, if there are Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette table limits, you can very
quickly run up against the table limit. For example, if the table
limit is $2,500, you will be close to that limit on the 12th consecutive
losing spin and be unable to bet the next time. The odds of you losing
12 consecutive times are not great, but they exist and this will occasionally
happen. When it does, you lose – big. It will take a lot of
successive wins to make up for this one loss.
Second, you will very quickly run up into some very big numbers. For
example, after the 10th consecutive losing spin, you will be betting
$1,024 for the 11th bet. The worst part is, you are betting that amount
to win just $1. See the table below:
A variation of the Martingale Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette strategy is to limit your string. For example,
you might decide to limit your risk to a series of five losing bets.
Your odds of losing that bet are down to 2.96 percent, or said the
other way; you have a 97% shot at winning. If you lose again on the
fifth spin, take your loss and start over with a $1 bet and work through
the sequence again. But the bad news with this is that unless you
have a superior bet selection method that is actually managing to
put the odds in your favor, even a limited Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette Martingale will result
in your losing at the basic rate of the house edge for that particular
Roulette or Online Casino Roulette
game over the long term.
Labouchere: The Labouchere Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette betting strategy is sometimes referred to
as the "cross-out method". Again, this is for even money
bets. It works like this. Begin with a small string of numbers such
as 1-2-3. Your bet is the total of the first and last numbers in the
series, in this case the sum of 1 and 3 which is $4. If you win that
bet, you cross off the 1 and 3 and your next bet is $2 because it
is the only number left in the series. If you lose the first bet,
you add that total, 4, to the end of the series. Your number series
is now 1-2-3-4 and your next bet would be $5. When all the numbers
in the series have been crossed out, you will win the total number
of units in the original series which in this case would have been
$6 (1+2+3).
The advantage of this Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette betting approach is that you only need to
win 1/3 of your bets to make a profit. The disadvantage is that it
doesn't take a very long losing streak before you are making some
pretty big bets.
To counter escalating bets, some advise breaking down a series that
contains numbers too large to bet comfortably into two smaller series.
For example, the series 4-6-4-8-12 could be broken down into two series
of 2-3-2-4-6. That may seem like a good idea on the surface, but the
problem is that you now have to win twice as many bets as before in
order to cross out the whole series and win your 6 units. You must
now win not one out of three bets but two out of three bets until
the two series are completed. In other words, now, in order to be
successful, you have to play at a much higher win percentage than
would normally be expected in order to cancel out both series. Otherwise,
the series just grows longer and longer and you have to keep breaking
it down again and again until eventually it will get to the point
that you would have to win at a very high rate for a very long period
of time in order to cancel it out.
Since this method is normally only used for even money bets which
you have slightly less than a 50% chance of winning to begin with
(because of the zeros on the wheel), you are really in trouble if
you break down a series and don't immediately begin to win at a 67%
clip. You are destined to fall further and further behind and eventually
go bankrupt because of the ever-increasing need for a much higher
win percentage than would normally be expected.
D'Alembert. The D'Alembert Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette betting method is simple yet perhaps the
most effective of all the approaches described thus far. You simply
increase your bets by one chip after every loss and decrease by one
chip after every win. So if you begin with a one chip bet and lose,
you then bet two chips. If you lose again you will bet three chips.
If you win on this spin you will decrease your bet to two chips.
Bets will return to one chip as soon as there is a profit on the series
of bets. This Roulette or Online Casino Roulette
method is effective because you always have more money bet when you
win than when you lose. And, with a little luck you may even experience
several winning sessions.
Sooner or later you will have an extended losing streak and this Roulette
or Online Casino Roulette¸system will also
fail.
Fibonacci. The Fibonacci Roulette or Online
Casino Roulette betting progression is a mathematical pattern
that is commonly found in nature. In this progression, the bet called
for is always the sum of the two previous bets. For instance in the
series 1-2-3, the three is the sum of 1 and 2. The next bet called
for would be five because it is the sum of two and three. Then would
come 8, 13, 21 and so on, up the line.
A Fibonacci Roulette or Online Casino Roulette
progression generally increases to the next bet in the series after
a loss but is often decreased by two levels after a win. For instance
in this series, 1-2-3-5-8-13, had the 13-unit bet been won, the following
bet would be decreased 2 levels and a five-unit bet would be made.
However, some prefer to play more aggressively and only reduce one
level after a win. As long as luck holds out, this of course will
produce larger wins.
But like all the previous betting approaches described, the Fibonacci,
of and by itself, will not produce long-term wins. This system, too,
soon has you placing some very large bets.
Law Of Thirds. Many Roulette or Online Casino
Roulette systems are based upon a theory called the "Law
of Thirds". The Law of Thirds is a mathematical principle that
expresses a tendency of random numbers. The principle is basically
this: Over the course of any 36 spins, only 24 of the 36 numbers will
be hit. Some of the numbers will be hit more than once. This means
that of the 36 numbers, approximately 12 will be multiple hits and
twelve of the numbers will not be hit.
These systems use one means or another to identify and bet on these
numbers that will be hit multiple times. The problem with the Law
of Thirds is that it is not really a mathematical law. It does not
work out that way each and every time. There is no real way to predict
which numbers will and will not be hit. Remember, one of the eight
truisms is that each spin is a separate event and has no relationship
to any other spin. |
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